Various media outlets look to Global-Roam for clarity during heat wave

In early February, numerous news websites including the Adelaide Advertiser and the Sydney Morning Herald embedded our NEM-Watch Live Generation Widget (as seen on RenewEconomy) to help explain the generation mix of each state of Australia during the recent heat waves affecting the South Australian and New South Wales electricity network. In addition to the situational awareness that the widget provided, Allan O’Neil made several posts on WattClarity during the week including this initial analysis attempting to explain the root causes of the blackouts experienced in South Australia.

 

Providing insights to The Australian about the situation in South Australia

National Business Correspondent for The Australian, Annabel Hepworth published an article which details the concerns of big energy users in South Australia over high electricity prices after the recent turmoil in the state. Attempting to extend understanding on the situation Paul McArdle provided insights for the article, stating that blackout had “just put a two-week stop” to commercial concerns about the market “but the concerns continue”.

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NEM-Watch Fuel Type Widget snapshot helps illustrate the state of South Australian energy generation after blackout

In an effort to talk around last week’s power blackout in South Australia to a wider audience, The Australian published a number of infographics on pg. 6 of their daily edition on Thursday, the 18th of October, 2016.

Included was an artistic reproduction of a snapshot taken from our NEM-Watch Widget from 4pm the previous day – as shown here:

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The snapshot was used to compare the energy generation make-up for each state against their respective renewable energy targets

The Australian attributed this image to the SA Government, because they accessed the live chart on the SA Government website.

This location in the Department of State Development is the current location (as at October 2016) of the embedded copy of the NEM-Watch Fuel Type Widgets, one of the growing number of 3rd party “Host” locations that are choosing to embed this widget, which started its life at these two initial locations:

  1.  At RenewEconomy here; and
  2. On the NEM-Watch portal here.

 

Animation on WattClarity helps explain what happened during yesterday’s blackout throughout South Australia

Our CEO, Paul McArdle spent the best part of last night piecing together the animation below in an attempt to understand what went on leading up to and during yesterday’s blackout throughout South Australia. Using ez2view, the animation explains what happened in generation and demand levels in South Australia between 06:00 and 17:00 on Wednesday the 28th of September, 2016.

An initial post and an update on the situation has already been posted on WattClarity, but time permitting, more analysis of what’s happened will be published over the coming days and weeks.

Pondering the future of Australia’s electricity market through detailed analysis

Our CEO, Paul McArdle recently penned an article on WattClarity pondering whether the remarkable price results from Q2 were a short lived excursion or whether they are the begging of a more systematic change in pricing patterns. Paul’s article caught the attention of several journalists including Ben Potter from the Australian Financial Review, who referenced the analysis in his piece ‘COAG out of action as electricity prices soar‘, and sought comments from Paul on the topic:

Average wholesale electricity prices across the National Electricity Market shot up to $65-$80 a megawatt hour in the mainland NEM states in the June quarter, and to $120 in Tasmania, Paul McArdle, director of GlobalRoam, said.

Paul McArdle weighs in on discussion about the cost of Basslink cable failure

Over the weekend, Angela Macdonald-Smith and Ben Potter from the Australian Financial Review wrote an article discussing the potential cost of the recent Basslink cable failure that has been plaguing Tasmania over recent months. In March, our CEO, Paul McArdle published some of his thoughts on the topic in a post to WattClarity, and he followed it up with a short update last week responding to claims about the total cost of the cable failure. Seeking in-depth insights and analysis on the matter, the journalists referenced Paul’s comments on the matter:

The highest previous estimate of the economic impact of the outage was a $400 million back-of-the-envelope estimate from Brisbane-based energy consultant and GlobalRoam director Paul McArdle, based on similar methodology of applying the increase in average prices to typical usage.

Providing analysis on the possible closure of Australian power station

Last week, Sydney Morning Herald journalist’s Adam Morton and Brian Morris published an article on the possible closure of coal-power generation at the Hazelwood Power Station. In the article, the journalists sought comments from a number of industry experts including our CEO, Paul McArdle. Providing experience and insight on the topic, Paul was quoted in the article:

Most analysts who spoke to Fairfax Media said it was difficult to say what impact removing Hazelwood would have on prices – Global-Roam’s Paul McArdle said it was the “million dollar question” – but many said they were likely to increase.

Paul McArdle, managing director at Global-Roam, said: “The reality is nobody knows because it depends what competitors do.” He said it was likely prices would rise while also lifting AGL’s profitability, for example.

WattClarity helps the Australian Financial Review explain Tasmanian situation

A recent article published by our CEO, Paul McArdle about the state of Tasmania’s electricity supply was quoted by journalist Ben Potter in yesterday’s edition of the Australian Financial Review. Ben Potter sought quotes from a number of experts in the industry to clarify what cost the current Tasmanian energy crisis may result in:

“Whatever the number, it’s big” said Paul McArdle, managing director of energy consultancy Global-Roam, in a blog post last month. Mr McArdle estimated the crisis would add about $216 milliion to Tasmania’s energy costs over the March quarter.

The estimate is based on average prices of about $!50MWh – about $100 above pre-crisis prices – and average consumption of 1000MW over the quarter.

What role might Demand Response play in a (possible) future grid featuring high levels of intermittency?

Last week Paul McArdle posted this article to WattClarity after speaking at All-Energy in early October. His presentation (with narration included) from the conference is available here:

Explaining South Australian wind generation to interested (and confused) stakeholders

After fielding a number of questions relating to wind farm production in South Australia over a two week period – our CEO, Paul McArdle took to WattClarity to help make the complexity of the situation understandable to many interested (and confused) onlookers.

To illustrate the yin and yang of wind over a 4-day period for broader consumption, we used our NEM-Watch entry-level dashboard. Using screenshots of NEM-Watch we were able to create the animation below to clearly explain what was happening over the 4-day period.